Transitioning to renewable energy systems might not entail a decline in net energy

Energy researchers have been trying to understand the implications of a transition to fully renewable energy for decades. Some past studies suggested that technologies to generate energy from renewable energy sources, such as solar panels and wind turbines, might not generate as much net energy (i.e., the energy remaining after accounting for the energy consumed to generate power) as their long-standing fossil fuel-reliant counterparts.

Researchers at University of Leeds recently carried out a study aimed at further investigating the extent to which this idea is true, by comparing the estimated net energy produced by burning fossil fuels with that produced by sustainable energy technologies. The findings of their analyses, published in Nature Energy, suggest that the transition towards renewable energy systems might not actually entail a decline in net energy.

“For a given energy system, the energy return on investment (EROI) refers to the ratio of the energy delivered to society divided by the energy invested,” Emmanuel Aramendia, co-author of the paper, told Tech Xplore. “A common and enduring view is that fossil fuels have higher EROIs than renewable energy and therefore return substantially more net energy to society than renewable energy systems. This view questions the possibility of a low-carbon transition without drastic reductions in living standards.”

Previous studies typically quantified the energy returns of fossil fuels at the primary stage of extraction (i.e., the energy extracted from oil wells or at other sites). In contrast, the returns of renewable energy systems are typically quantified at the final energy stage (i.e., the energy delivered to users in the form of electricity).

These studies suggest that fossil fuels produce significantly more usable energy than renewable energy sources. Recent work, including a paper published in Nature Energy in 2019, found that when comparing energy returns at the final energy stage, the energy returns of fossil fuels and renewables were not that far apart. However, even these works did not take into consideration factors that can only be estimated by conducting analyses at the useful energy stage.

“Previous work has so far failed to account for the fact that renewable energy systems like solar PV and wind power deliver electricity, which is on average used with much higher final-to-useful efficiencies (i.e., the efficiency with which the final energy carrier is converted into an energy flow valuable to society, e.g. heat, mobility, etc.) than fossil fuel-based carriers,” Aramendia said.

“As an example, the efficiency of an internal combustion engine (e.g. gasoline or diesel vehicle) is in the range 25-35%, while the efficiency of an electric car is around 80%. In our work, we expand the boundary of analysis to the useful energy stage to account for the effects of final-to-useful efficiencies.”

As part of their recent study, Aramendia and his colleagues analyzed data collected by the International Energy Agency, with the aim of determining the direct energy use (i.e., energy use in situ) of the fossil fuel industry. They also used the Exiobase input output model, a database containing monetary and energy-related data sourced from 43 countries worldwide, to determine the indirect use of fossil fuel-produced energy (i.e., energy use in the supply chain).

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